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I'm from the government and I'm here to help
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87-7-68 +18.85 (stake 211.05)

not a lot i like today...one friendly i've played

Bolivia vs Brazil
- match in Santa Cruz so height not an issue at just 415m although quite warm and tropical but not sure that really benefits either side. Not a FIFA match so both going with local players which is a massive benefit to Brazil as their league is so much stronger. So both teams will be pretty young but Brazil have a quality side with a lot of in-form players like Neymar, Damiao, Pato, and Ronaldinho in attack...Andre Santos, Doria, Dede in the back, and Jean, Arouca, and Jadson in midfield. Scolari has yet to win as Brazil's manager, 0-2-1, so he is anxious for first victory while Bolivia don't play again until June. They won't have altitude as the equalizer today so odds are off IMO

Brazil 1u to win 1.04u
 

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Mexico 6pm

Queretaro vs Cruz Azul
- line moves to Cruz Azul's favor but I don't agree. Queretaro have just 5 matches left, 3 at home, to save themselves as they trail San Luis by 6 points, Atlante/Puebla by 7 points, and Atlas by 8 points so can certainly catch one of these teams which will save them from relegation. Of course they will continue doing this with defense which has been remarkable. They've not allowed 2 goals in a match in over 2 months which is 11 games including cup. In that stretch they've posted 6 clean sheets in last 8 games and haven't conceded at home in the league in 317'.

Queretaro +0.25 2u to win 1.58u
 

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Brazil looking great, good luck with other plays this weekend!
 

I'm from the government and I'm here to help
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+1.04 Brazil 0-4
-2.00 Queretaro 1-2

88-7-69 +17.89 (stake 214.05)
 

I'm from the government and I'm here to help
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Mex 11pm

Atlas vs Morelia
- heavy odds move from Morelia +1/2 to pk and I don't get it. Atlas 7-1-1 L9 and sitting 2nd on table while Morelia haven't won away in 3 months. Teacher vs Student in this one b/w the coaches but that account for the odds move unless bookies think Atlas will just "help" Morelia make the playoffs.

Atlas pk 1.33u to win 1u
 

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Sun Brazil 3pm

Ponte Preta vs Palmeiras
- Palmeiras will field reserves with midweek match vs Libertad up in Libertadores. Ponte are simply the superior team right now and they are looking to avenge the way Gilson Kleina (palmeiras coach) left Ponte Preta last year so expect a very motivated home team even though, Table-wise, match is more important to Verdao as Ponte are solid inside the top 8 while Palmeiras fight for playoff spot but that goes out the window here. Ponte top defense in Paulista, almost half the goals that Verdao allowed, and similar offense. Going back to last year Ponte unbeaten in 19 overall and unbeaten in 18 at home. Ponte right now the better, more talented, more in-form team and should be -150 against Palmeiras reserves.

Ponte Preta 2.57u to win 2.5u
 

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Chicago vs RBNY
- under hit hard and even though no Henry in starting XI RBNY have seen at least 2 goals in 15 of last 16 road MLS games

Chi/RBNY o2 1u to win .74u
 

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Concacaf u17 WCQ 9pm



Cuba u17 vs Mexico u17
- first group match in Panama for both teams. Cuba youth always decent as players haven't defected yet but this Mexican club is tremendous. Of course they won the last u17 world cup and then the regional u20 but this current team is well above everyone. USA's u17 club clearly 2nd best in region and were just beaten 4-0 by the Mexicans in a tournament played in Panama 6 weeks ago. In the same tournament El Tri beat Panama 2-0 and most would consider the hosts as 3rd favorite to advance to world cup. Cuba advanced through the Carib group but only played Bahamas, Aruba, and Puerto Rico so this is a totally new level and a 2 goal defeat should be best case scenario for them.


Mexico u17 -1.75 .74u to win .5u
 

I'm from the government and I'm here to help
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+0.00 Atlas 0-0
-2.57 Ponte 1-2
+0.74 Chicago 2-1
+0.50 Mexico 5-1

90-8-70 +16.56 (stake 218.36)
 

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